Archives: March 2002
Sunday, March 31, 2002
In a very unusual way...
Monday, March 25, 2002
Sunday, March 24, 2002
The good news this year's Oscars came to a much more interesting finish than in past years. The bad news is that put a major cramp in my final predictions.
This year I faired 50% in all categories, the top 8 and the top 5. Compared to last year's 61%, 75% and 75%. I did, however, increase my all time odds in many categories. Lord and Mind did indeed tie for the most awards won though both went home with one less than I predicted.
Oh well. Until next year Actually, until Tony noms in a few weeks...
I will make some year ahead of time predictions that the following films look to be top contenders for next year's Oscars:
What follows are my final Oscar predictions (and some update commentary) for this year's Oscar race.
As always, these predictions have little to nothing to do with who deserves the award. These are my predictions for who I believe has the best shots at taking home a statue.
All rankings are in order of who has the better chance of winning to the worst. #1's, in green, are my prediction for who will win the category. Nominees in blue are possible spoilers, nominees in orange have little chance of winning, and nominees in red are my picks for those who should get very comfortable with the phrase, "It was an honor just to be nominated."
Once again, Mind pulls ahead as Lord falls behind, furthering the gap between first and second. Moulin picks up speed, though short of what would be needed for an upset. Gosford pulls back as Bedroom picks up the pace at the last minute though not enough to even move into fourth.
Prepare for the photo finsh as Crowe slips back and Washington movesforward. I'm still giving the slight edge to Crowe. The rest of the pack has not changed pace since last commentary.
Berry continues to benefit from her momentum and Spaceck's falling behind. The gap between this first and second and the Best Actor first and second is greater, though either could easily win just the same. The rest remain in their same positions except for Zellweger who moves ahead by a smidge though clearly she'll remain in fifth.
The pack stays roughly the same though Broadbent and Voight slow in the final stretch. McKellen maintains enough of a lead to nearly guarantee first.
Conelly has remained in first for a very long time and will no doubt win. A good distance behind are Mirren and Smith, both gaining ground. Winslet and Tomei slip farther back.
Jackson's moving slightly faster as Howard and Altman, still neck and neck, slow in pace a bit.
Amelie is the only nominee to gain some speed in the final stretch as the rest of the pack continues at the same pace as before.
Bedroom catches up and takes second place to Amelie's third in the final rush for the finish. Mind stays ahead pretty comfortably, maintaining it's speed.
Amelie falls back a bit as Land moves slightly faster. Still looks like Amelie will win but Land has an even greater chance at spoiling.
More of the same, though Monster loses an extremely small amount of speed.
Sins moves faster as the rest stay the same, though Birds maintains a comfortable lead in first.
The accountant picks up its' pace as the rest stay the same.
Promises gains some speed as the rest stay the same.
Artists and Sing pull ahead as Thoth maintains its' speed.
Another extremely close race to the finish as Rouge loses ground and Lord gains. This is easily the closest race between first and second of all categories this year.
Lord continues to pick up its pace as The Man once again falls back a bit.
The pack maintains their pace except for Lord who speeds up again.
Black Hawk moves closer to surpassing Lord for second. Memento also gains speed while the rest stay the same.
Rouge gains speed as the other two stay at the same pace as before.
Monster moves up a spot to third place as A.I. falls behind. Lord should easily win this race.
The entire pack loses speed except for Kate who is only getting faster in the final stretch.
Moulin and Amelie maintain pace as the rest gain some speed.
Pearl moves ahead as Monster pulls back.
A.I. loses ground as Pearl gains, though Lord will take this race to the bank.
Come back tomorrow for to see how I did, and how much better (or worse) I did this year compared to other years!
Monday, March 18, 2002
I promise to write and respond to comments (and emails) as soon as I can get to them but I thought I'd post this for what it's worth...
I've been climbing on roofs and ladders while painting the outside of my parent's house for the big impending move south in the next month or so. I've been packing boxes at both their house and mine. I've been lugging heavy objects all over the place. I've been climbing and scaling cliffs on my parent's land documenting the area in photos. Through all of this and more I remained fairly bruise free. Until yesterday evening when I performed in my second public ComedySportz match. It was a blast and most probably my last up here in Northern California.
Last night I discovered a very odd three inch scratch (though it's more signifigant than a scratch and less than a gash... perhaps it's a scrash?) and large bruises on my right leg.
After reviewing the video of the performance, I was able to figure out when and what caused these bruises. It was a combination of falling to the ground several times in one sketch and throwing myself from atop the ten foot or so tall stage wall six or seven times.
Saturday, March 16, 2002
Here's an update to my previous Oscar standings. I've also included my odds for winning standings to the right of each nominee. Look for my final predictions by next Saturday...
Mind pulls ahead as Lord falls behind, further cementing the win for Mind as Moulin and Gosford slowly gain some footing, though not nearly enough to surpass even Lord.
Crowe slips slightly back as Washington gains some momentum, though not enough to lock a win... yet. Wilkinson moves up slightly as Smith and Penn fall further and further back.
Spacek's lock is long gone, though she holds a decent lead still ahead of Berry who is quickly gaining speed. Though Kidman falls back slightly she still trails just behind Berry.
McKellen increases his lead ahead of Broadbent and Kingsley who are both losing considerable ground. Hawke creeps slightly ahead though not nearly enough to catch up.
Conelly hasn't budged at all. Neither has Winslet who, along with Tomei, continue to be sure misses. Mirren moves ahead slightly though most definitely not enough to surpass Connelly.
Jackson falls behind, though still far ahead of Scott and Lynch. Both Howard and Altman have increased there leads with Howard just ahead of Altman.
Memento falls behind as Gosford gains speed. Tenenbaums falls to last place as Amelie jumps to the third slot in the final stretch.
Four of the five have fained momentum since last month allowing Mind to gain even more momentum as Lord falls behind. Bedroom is catching up to possibly take second place.
Amelie and Land lose some footing as Lagaan creeps up behind.
This category remains simply stagnant with the exception of Monster's pulling slightly ahead of it's position last month.
Birds remains the same as Grey falls behind.
Copy Shop pulls ahead farther as it's competition loses standing.
Promises chances lessen as Lalee's moves ahead. Tied with Lalee's is Underground which is now starting to lose some ground.
Artists pulls ahead, though right behind is Sing!
Looks to be a photo finish with Moulin and Lord neck and neck.
The Man remains the leader as Lord in second picks up its pace.
Gosford picks up a little speed, though not enough to upset Moulin and Lord remaining one and two.
Lord gains as Moulin falls. Lord looks to surpass Moulin very soon as Black Hawk falls behind.
Lord remains strong though Mind gains some speed. Tied with Mind is Moulin which begins losing ground.
Lord and A.I. remain stagnant at one and three with Mind at number two losing ground.
Lord stays the same directly behind Vanilla which gains speed as Kate, still in first, loses.
Lord and Black gain even more of a lead behind the rest of the pack with Pearl and Moulin, both losing ground.
This is a neck and neck race with both contenders gaining ground over last month. Anything can happen here so far...
Lord stays the same as A.I. and Pearl gain. Pearl has little chance to move up though A.I. still has a chance...
I'm really not sure of the appeal of Mark Bakalor's site, because frankly I suspect there is none, but hell, I check it at least thrice daily, and you should too!
"Your website is beautifully demented. The moving head thing in the top left just does it. I've been staring at it for the past minute and still find it amusing. You're an inspiration to us all."
- Jenn Kauffman